Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.260894 0.304181 0.352128 0.409139 0.475042 0.548800 0.637583
2025-03-23 0.199619 0.260455 0.335363 0.434190 0.560966 0.717958 0.926977
2025-03-30 0.153346 0.217101 0.301842 0.422326 0.588821 0.810365 1.127127
2025-04-06 0.122112 0.184908 0.273785 0.408124 0.605359 0.883555 1.304894
2025-04-13 0.099864 0.160373 0.250830 0.395022 0.618120 0.949002 1.475565
2025-04-20 0.086856 0.146978 0.241333 0.398994 0.654488 1.050537 1.708792
2025-04-27 0.079984 0.141896 0.243410 0.420364 0.719258 1.201233 2.033917
2025-05-04 0.072649 0.134712 0.240725 0.432959 0.770425 1.334881 2.345630
2025-05-11 0.065160 0.125999 0.234021 0.437333 0.807436 1.448125 2.634557
2025-05-18 0.057891 0.116514 0.224510 0.435103 0.831882 1.541451 2.897773
2025-05-25 0.051225 0.107134 0.213835 0.429070 0.848130 1.621102 3.143820
2025-06-01 0.045727 0.099216 0.204803 0.424783 0.866677 1.706076 3.407572
2025-06-08 0.039466 0.088954 0.190113 0.408008 0.860023 1.744964 3.592119
2025-06-15 0.038200 0.089128 0.196577 0.435108 0.944512 1.969313 4.165550
2025-06-22 0.033609 0.081289 0.185241 0.423336 0.947318 2.031471 4.418915
2025-06-29 0.029444 0.073762 0.173530 0.409107 0.942911 2.077886 4.643915
2025-07-06 0.025910 0.067164 0.162971 0.395975 0.939080 2.124620 4.873892
2025-07-13 0.023945 0.064086 0.160054 0.399957 0.974025 2.258128 5.306865
2025-07-20 0.023234 0.064053 0.164305 0.421376 1.051637 2.493539 5.991926
2025-07-27 0.022045 0.062601 0.164914 0.434001 1.109824 2.690894 6.610210
2025-08-03 0.020519 0.060016 0.162355 0.438385 1.148456 2.846876 7.147644
2025-08-10 0.018823 0.056696 0.157467 0.436150 1.170254 2.965048 7.606357
2025-08-17 0.017127 0.053115 0.151422 0.430102 1.181605 3.059071 8.015718